Indo-Pak Relations Took A Hit in 2016
Thursday, 14
March 2019
·
Peace still
non-negotiable
Thursday, 14 March 2019 | Jai Kumar Verma
India must continue isolating Pakistan so that it cannot wriggle out
from the clutches of FATF. We must force a change in its policy of assisting
terrorist outfits
In a significant speech early this year, Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan talked about inculcating peace
and enhancing trade with India. He also claimed that if India took one step
forward, Pakistan would take two. However, in the same speech he mentioned that
peace would be feasible only after the Kashmir issue was solved. This linking
of the Kashmir issue with peace talks has exposed his double standards. And
like Kargil after former Prime Minister Vajpayee’s visit and Pathankot after
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit, Pakistan-trained terrorists carried out
an attack at Pulwama and hurled a powerful grenade at a Jammu bus stand on
March 7. Again, on February 24 to be precise, he requested his counterpart Modi
to “give peace a chance” and proclaimed that he would take immediate action if
India provided “actionable intelligence” on the Pulwama attack of February 14
in which 40 Indian soldiers were martyred. Islamabad also approached the United
Nations to “defuse tension” between India and Pakistan.
India handed over a dossier with evidence of Pakistan’s involvement in
the terrorist act in Pulwama. Islamabad took some token action against
terrorist outfits it hosted to neutralise world opinion and on March 8, Khan
reiterated that no terror group would be permitted to carry out activities in
other countries from Pakistan. Nonetheless, Islamabad is not trustworthy as in
the past it has launched several cleansing operations with fancy names
like Operation Al-Mizan, Rah-e-Haq, Sher-e-Dil, Zalzala, Koh-e-Sufaid and
at present Operation Zarb-e-Azbwith no discernible dip in
terrorism. In fact, it has allowed blacklisted terror groups to scatter, lie
low, regroup and re-emerge with new identities. The Pakistani military
establishment, which endorses such groups as they lend it a strategic heft, has
even categorised them as “good” and “bad” terrorists. So outfits which carry
out terrorist attacks in India and Afghanistan under the instructions of the
Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) are considered “good” terrorists and given
full protection and assistance. Action is taken only against those terrorist
outfits that disobey the ISI, have no use for it or have dared to carry out
attacks in Pakistan.
Observers claim that such clampdowns are superficial and taken because
of utmost pressure from the international community and the Financial Action
Task Force (FATF), which monitors terror funding and disqualifies errant
countries from receiving recuperative aid and loans from world bodies. Pakistan
is passing through a grave economic crisis; its foreign reserve is at its
lowest ebb and it has requested the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a
bailout package. The FATF has given Pakistan more than 15 conditions to comply
with, including smashing the jihadi factory, by May or else
risk getting blacklisted. In that case, neither the IMF or World Bank can
sanction a bailout package.
The Pakistani Army-controlled ISI has created a big infrastructure to
support diverse terrorist outfits and carry out proxy wars in India and
Afghanistan as they are an important part of Islamabad’s foreign policy. Hence
it will be imprudent to assume that Pakistan will shun the path of terrorism so
easily.
A strong lobby in India emphasises that both India and Pakistan should
try to sort out differences through peaceful negotiations. The activists also
mention that war is not a solution. However, they forget that Pakistan was created
on the basis of the failed two-nation theory and both the countries have
already fought three major wars, excluding an undeclared war at Kargil. Besides
these wars, there are numerous skirmishes and limited military conflicts
between both the countries. These hostilities have created a lot of suspicion
and animosity in the ruling elite as well as in people. Pakistan doesn’t
believe in giving up the fight, bleeding India with several cuts rather than
striking a mammoth blow.
In the past, several attempts were made for restoring peace, especially
at the Shimla, Agra and Lahore summits. Few confidence-building measures like
border trade, the Delhi-Lahore Bus service and Friendship Express (Samjhauta
Express) were also tried but all efforts miserably failed as ISI-sponsored
terrorism continued unabashedly. India has always yielded ground,
having already surrendered vast areas of Kashmir in 1947-48 and returning
the Haji Pir Pass in 1966. The Indus Water Treaty of 1960 is
disproportionately in favour of Pakistan. Delhi had given more such concessions
in the past but Islamabad never reciprocated or mitigated its hostility. It
always took our kindness as our weakness; hence, we must understand that there
can be no friendship with Pakistan.
The terrorist organisations, besides ISI, also have a strong public
support in Pakistan, claiming legitimacy through social and charitable
institutions. Ousted President Pervez Musharraf mentioned in an interview that
the Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM) tried to assassinate him twice but he could not take
action against it as the ISI was using the organisation for anti-India
activities. In his recent remarks, he even implied that the Pakistani Army was
fully seized of the Pulwama attack. If the Jaish can attempt an assassination of
the ruling President, who in turn could not take punitive action despite full
knowledge of the plot, then it speaks volumes about the ISI’s stranglehold on
the region as a whole.
The pacifists also point out that geographically Pakistan is a neighbour
and as its location cannot be altered, India should try to inculcate
friendship. However, they overlook that Islamabad is diabolically against India
and wants to split the country by abetting terrorist outfits in Kashmir and
assisting secessionist elements of Khalistan.
India must respond to Pakistan with firmness and determination and
should not become a victim of its bullying and blackmailing strategies. Worse,
it uses conventions and agreements to suit its own narrative. So while Khan
does not talk about the Shimla Agreement, he talks about the defunct UN
resolution. Pakistan has conveniently forgotten the Shimla Agreement as it
clearly mentions that both sides would not use force on the LoC while Pakistan
has been regularly infiltrating terrorists and using fire power there.
Pakistan has already surrendered some areas of Kashmir to Beijing for
the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) that passes through Gilgit,
Baltistan and PoK. Given China’s territorial imperialism, this has added a
complex layer to the imbroglio. Peaceniks also allege that India does not treat
Pakistan equally. However, the contention doesn’t hold as India has signed
several agreements with Pakistan as equals. It has never interfered in the
internal affairs of its neighbours through covert ops while Pakistan is
constantly needling India.
The pro-dialogue lobby must comprehend that Pakistan has an obsession
with claiming parity with India without realising differences in size,
governance and other markers. When India signed a nuclear deal with US,
Pakistan also tried its best to sign the treaty. Islamabad, without considering
past records, raised objections to India’s membership of the Nuclear Suppliers
Group (NSG). It is also obstructing India’s permanent membership in the UN
Security Council. There are several other fields where Islamabad is trying to
maintain uniformity with India. Pakistan watchers claim that the country’s
economic condition has deteriorated because of excessive expenditure on defence
forces.
The all-powerful Pakistan Army has over time given false hope to the
masses that funding covert operations was worth it as they would help it snatch
the whole of Kashmir from India and merge it with Pakistan. Hence there can be
no negotiations with Pakistan on Kashmir. Khan’s offer of peace talks are
simply to curry favour with the FATF, IMF and world community. Second,
Indian security forces have killed top terrorist leaders under Operation All
Out and successfully eliminated a large number of their support agents under
Operation Cordon and Search. The infiltration of Pakistani hardcore terrorists
is under control due to strict vigil at the borders. At present ISI wants to
have peace for some time so that the terrorist outfits can be strengthened.
The arguments for enhancing people to people contacts, trade and
cultural exchange have been already tried with no result. Now India must
adopt a stern approach towards its western neighbour and after the pre-emptive,
non-military airstrikes at Balakot, be ready to take retributive action should
another terrorist hit happen on our side. India should continue isolating
Pakistan so that it cannot wriggle out from the clutches of FATF without making
considerable changes in its policy of assisting terrorist outfits.
(The writer is member, United Services Institute of India, and Institute
for Defence Studies and Analyses)
AAKROSH
ASIAN JOURNAL ON
TERRORISM AND INTERNATIONAL CONFLICTS
January 2019 Volume 21 number 78
Impact of surgical strikes on
Pakistan: Kashmiri secessionist movement
About 200 valiant
Indian army personnel entered POK on September 29, 2016 and smashed seven
launching pads and killed more than 40 terrorists, guides and Pakistan army
personnel. The Indian army made it clear that the attack was not against
Pakistan army but hostile to terrorists and that too after having confirmed information
that terrorists were waiting on launching pads for infiltration. The surgical
strike boosted the morale of Indian army as well as of the nation as for the
first time India took revenge of numerous terrorist activities carried out by
Pakistan sponsored terrorists. The surgical strike also exposed the rift
between civilian government and the army as civilian government accepted the
surgical strike but army refused it outright as it knew that it cannot take
revenge for it. Pakistan army tried several times to snatch Kashmir from India
but failed. ISI had created quite a few terrorist outfits to carryout terrorist
activities in J&K. L-e-T on behest of ISI has eradicated Sufi culture and
obligated Non-Muslims to vacate the valley. The present government has chalked
out a comprehensive policy to solve Kashmir problem. On one hand government is
exterminating hardcore terrorists and preventing the infiltration of new
terrorists and also trying to curb the financial assistance to separatists, on
the other hand it also appointed an interlocutor so that the problem can be
sorted out harmoniously.
The valiant Indian army entered in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (POK)
on September 29, 2016 and smashed seven launching pads, killed more than 40
terrorists including guides and their trainers who were Pakistan army personnel
both serving and retired. The surgical strikes were conducted by more than 200
Indian army personnel who penetrated POK on the basis of confirmed intelligence
that large numbers of terrorists were waiting at the launching pads to
infiltrate in India. The surgical strikes came as a big surprise to Pakistan
authorities who were not expecting that Indian troops will cross the borders.
In past Pakistani terrorists attacked Indian parliament, exploded bombs in
India’s commercial capital Mumbai, carried out terrorist activities in holy
city of Varanasi but after all these terrorist activities Indian political
leaders made grandiloquent statements and threatened for dire consequences but
no worthwhile action was taken. Hence sinister Inter Services intelligence
(ISI) could not imagine that Indian troops would cross the border. Therefore
when Indian troops attacked the launching pads the terrorists as well as their
trainers could not react and were killed like sitting ducks. Indian troops
returned without losing any personnel. (Sl. No. 1 & 2)
India conducted the surgical strike in self defence as there
was definite information that Pakistani terrorists along with their handling
officers and guides assembled at launching pads and were ready for
infiltration. The terrorists were accompanied by Pakistan army personnel, which
indicated the connivance of Pakistan government. In the past Delhi requested
Islamabad to stop infiltration of terrorists but the latter took no action
hence entering of Indian troops in POK and extermination of the terrorists was
in self defence. (Sl No.2)
Indian surgical strikes were against the terrorists and not
hostile towards Pakistani security organisations and the attack was not on any
Pakistan defence personnel but on the launching pads from where terrorists were
ready to infiltrate. It is a different issue that Pakistan army personnel were
killed as they were with terrorists. Extermination of terrorists in launching
pads was a better option than killing them once they enter India and carryout
terrorist activities.
In the surgical strike beside terrorists and their trainers
Indian army also exterminated few guides. In fact guides play a vital role in
crossing the borders. Guides are generally the residents of border villages and
have full idea of the topography of the area. They wear the dress of the area
and speak same dialect. Guides are also aware the places where they can take
shelter in day time and can hide in case of emergency. In reality infiltration
is not possible without suitable guides.
The surgical strike which was first of its kind boosted not
only the morale of armed forces but of the whole nation. By the surgical strikes,
India avenged numerous Pakistan sponsored terrorist attacks on Indian army
installations and on civilian locations.
The terrorist attack carried out by four heavily armed
Pakistani terrorists on 18 September, 2016 on Indian Army Camp in Uri was the
game changer. This attack was carried out by terrorists of Jaish-e-Mohammed (J-e-M).
In the attack about 19 innocent soldiers were killed and more than 30 were
injured, few of them were grievously hurt.
After the attack, the then Director General of Military
Operations (DGMO) Lieutenant General Ranbir Singh told that the attackers were
foreigners and they belonged to J-e-M. He also said that the same terrorist outfit
also carried out terrorist attack on Indian Air Force station at Pathankot on 2
January, 2017. He further mentioned that the terrorists who were killed at
Pathankot and Uri were carrying made in Pakistan items. He also assured the
nation that these terrorist attacks will be avenged. Prime Minister Modi and
Home Minister Rajnath Singh also gave similar assurances. Analysts feel that
ISI-controlled J-e-M terrorists attacked Air Force Station and Army base to
show their strength so that the secessionist groups feel that terrorists are so
dominant in the area that they can dare to attack army and air force bases. The
hardcore, well trained terrorists were equipped with AK-47 rifles, hand
grenades, Grenade Operation Systems, Global Positioning Systems (GPS) and top
of it, inflammable ammunition. The terrorists were assisted by support agents
or Over Ground Workers (OGWs), who carried the reconnaissance, informed them that Uri was a transit camp and several
military personnel live in tents. According to reports few army men died
because of burning also. (Sl. No.3)
Lt. General Ranbir Singh, DGMO, again held a joint press
conference with Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) on 29 September and stated
that ‘the
Army has conducted surgical strikes on terror launch pads on the LoC and
significant casualties have been caused. The motive of this operation was to
hit out at the terrorists who were planning to infiltrate into our territory’. It
was further clarified that the surgical strike was not against Pakistani army
but was against the terrorists who were ready to infiltrate India with the
intention of carrying out terrorist activities.
The analysts claim
that it was a nicely planned operation in which Defence Minister Parrikar,
National Security Advisor Ajit Doval and Army Chief General Dalbir Singh Suhag
were directly involved while Air Force was kept on alert. Foreign Secretary S Jaishankar briefed envoys
of 25 countries including P-5+1 countries, about the necessity of surgical
strike as the Pakistan trained terrorists were sitting near the borders to
infiltrate India. The operation was in self defence and was a counter terrorism
operation. (Sl. No.3)
Rajnath Singh
briefed leaders of important political parties about the necessity and
repercussions of the surgical strike in presence of top Bharatiya Janata Party
(BJP) leaders.
A surgical strike is
a swift and targeted military attack on legitimate military target and no or
minimal collateral damage to surrounding structures, vehicles, buildings or the
general public infrastructure and utilities. Neutralization of targets with
surgical strikes also prevents escalation to a full blown war. Surgical strike
attacks can be carried out via air strike, airdropping special ops teams or a
swift ground operation or by sending special troops. In 1981 Israel bombed
Iraqi nuclear reactor at Osirak is a perfect example of surgical strike. Israel
commando operation of 1976 at Entebbe in Uganda in which Israeli passengers
were freed from a hijacked plane is another example of surgical strike. The
United States also carried out several surgical strikes against Al-Qaeda in
Afghanistan using cruise missiles. US also used same technology against a
purported chemical weapons facility in Sudan. (Sl. No.4)
Reaction
of Pakistan
The surgical strike exposed the unending rivalry between all
powerful Pakistani army and the civilian government. Prime Minister Nawaz
Sharif knowing full well that Pakistan army cannot retaliate Indian surgical
strike immediately issued a statement condemning the surgical strike and termed
it as “naked aggression” while Pakistan army flatly refused about any surgical
strike and denied that Indian army personnel entered POK. Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) spokesman simply
accepted that it was cross border firing in which two soldiers were killed and
nine others were injured. Pakistan Foreign Office summoned Indian Ambassador in
Islamabad Gautam Bambawale and lodged strong protest for ceasefire violations
on line of Control. Pakistan army also mentioned that it gave befitting reply. (Sl.
No.5)
However Pakistani civilian government took the matter quite
seriously and Nawaz Sharif talked to General Sharif on phone and cabinet
meeting was also convened which evaluated the situation. National Security
Advisor Nasser Janjua also submitted a detailed report. Khawaja Asif Defence
Minister of Pakistan under pressure from Army refuted Indian claim of surgical
strike. (Sl. No.5).
Pakistan had limited options to retaliate surgical strike as
it cannot make surgical strike in India because India is not infiltrating
terrorists hence there are no launching pads or terrorist training camps in the
country. The
reprehensible ISI already constituted Border Action Team (BAT), with the sole
purpose of abducting, slaughtering and mutilating the bodies of Indian Patrol
Teams so that they control India-Pakistan borders. In past BAT which consists of personnel of
Special Services Group (SSG) as well as terrorists of Lashkar-e-Toiba (L-e-T)
and Jaish-e-Mohammed (J-e-M) entered Indian territory and kidnapped one or two
Indian soldiers and disfigured their dead bodies. (Sl. No. 2& 6).
In response to surgical strikes, Pakistan opted for heavy
artillery fire on the borders to satisfy semi literate fanatic Pakistanis that
the army which claims itself to be the saviour of the country has punished
India for the bogus claim of surgical strike. It also enhanced infiltration and
instructed its lackeys to organise more demonstrations, strikes and shutdowns
to show their strength.
The surgical strike had visible
impact on Pakistan authorities, they always considered that India being a
peaceful country will always remain defensive and will not take any offensive
action however the surgical strike has broken this myth and according to
reports ISI told the leaders of various terrorist outfits especially Harakatul
Mujahideen, L-e-T and J-e-M to remain cautious about their security as India
may plan to exterminate leaders of various terrorist outfits. (Sl. No.7)
Analysts claim that Pakistan had to deny about surgical
strike as no state including Pakistan can accept existence of terrorists in
their country and their infiltration in other nation. Indian security agencies
have downplayed the surgical strike by mentioning that the attack was against
the terrorists and by saying this, gave a face saving opportunity to Pakistan army.
Pakistan always thought albeit erroneously that it can snatch
Kashmir from India by force. Pakistani army and tribesmen did joint operations
in 1947 and in 1965 with the intention to capture and amalgamate Kashmir in Pakistan.
But gallant Indian Army defeated them both the times and Kashmiri masses
informed Indian army about the aggression and helped Indian army in repulsing
Pakistanis from J&K. (Sl.No.8).
Again in 1999 Pakistan attacked Kargil and Drass areas and captured few Indian
posts. The then General Pervez Musharraf planned the strategy and accordingly
terrorists and regular Pakistan army personnel entered into Kargil area however
the local shepherds informed Indian administration and Indian army recaptured
all the posts on July 26, 1999 under “Operation Vijay”.
But when Indian forces started
evicting Pakistan army and Indian Air Force planned to attack targets in
Pakistan, Islamabad requested US to intervene but President Bill Clinton
categorically mentioned that US will interfere only when Pakistan troops vacate
all the captured posts. In the beginning Pakistan mentioned that there was no
role of Pakistani army in Kargil conflict and it was the handiwork of Kashmiri
masses but soon the myth was exposed as several dead intruders were carrying
Pakistani identity cards and Pakistan also awarded medals to Pakistani army men
who participated in invasion of Kargil and Drass areas. Islamabad mentioned
that terrorists of various outfits including Tehrik-e-Jihad, Harkatul
Mujahideen, Al-Badr, Lashkar-e-Toiba, Hizbul Mujahideen, Harkat-e-Jihad etc.
were responsible for the Kargil attack while most of the independent observers
mention that terrorists cannot plan and execute the operation at such a high
altitude without active participation of Pakistan army. (Sl. No.9
&10)
Besides these wars,
in 1971 there was another India Pakistan war in which Pakistan army committed
inhuman atrocities on the residents of East Pakistan. The residents of East
Pakistan revolted against West Pakistan and millions of Bengali Muslims took
refuge in India which culminated in war between India and Pakistan. In the war
Pakistan Army was conclusively defeated and more than 90000 Pakistani soldiers
were imprisoned and East Pakistan became independent country with the name of
Bangladesh.
Unfortunately Pakistan
could not reconcile with the dismemberment of the country and instead of
amending its ways it blamed India for the creation of Bangladesh and waged a
low intensity war against India. The military controlled ISI assisted
secessionist groups operating in India. It also created Khalistan movement in
Punjab province of India. ISI supplied arms and ammunition and rendered
financial assistance to Sikh terrorist outfits in India and abroad. As the
movement had no mass support it died its own death and now Sikh secessionists
are not in India, either they are in Pakistan or abroad.
There are reports that
Pakistan also imparted training, finances, arms and ammunitions to Left Wing
Extremists as well as secessionist elements of North East.
Terrorist
outfits abetted by Pakistan to carryout terrorist activities in India
especially in Kashmir.
The creepy ISI chalked
out a comprehensive plan to disturb peace and tranquility of bordering state of
Jammu & Kashmir. It created several terrorist outfits in Pakistan as well
as in J&K to carryout terrorist activities in the state as well as to assist
the secessionist elements. Besides terrorist outfits ISI also successfully
cultivated large number of so called human right activists who create excessive
noise against security forces for human right violations but remain silent when
terrorists kill innocent citizens or when Hindus, Sikhs and Christians had to
abandon their homes in Kashmir because of killings and threats by terrorists.
The ISI has created a
big network of paid lackeys who reach at the encounter site on the instructions
of ISI officers and obstruct the security forces from exterminating the
terrorists. These demonstrators include men, women and even children. According
to interrogation reports secessionists pay money to these demonstrators who
shout anti-India and pro-Pakistan slogans and throw stones on security forces.
ISI sends instructions through WhatsApp groups and the membership of these
groups exceeds 5000 persons. They also try to obstruct security forces in
Cordon and Search Operations(C&SO) under which they are exterminating not
only the terrorists but their support agents too. ( Sl. No.11).
Pakistan supported
secessionists have changed character of Kashmir struggle. Kashmir was the land
of Sufi saints and followed Sufi tradition associated with religious harmony.
The original Rishis include Sheikh Noor-ud-din Wali popularly known as Nund
Rishi and the Rishi order has made an important contribution to Kashmiriyat,
the ethnic, national, social and cultural consciousness of Kashmiris. Both
Hindus and Muslims revered Sufi saints alike.
However the present secessionists first evicted all non-Muslims
especially Kashmiri Pandits from the valley and now they claim that as Kashmir
is Muslim majority state it must be amalgamated in Pakistan. ( Sl. No.12).
The South Asia
Terrorism Portal (SATP) which is the largest website on terrorism and low
intensity warfare in South Asia mentioned that there are about 18 inactive
terrorist outfits including Jammu & Kashmir National Liberation Army, Al
Jehad Force (combines Muslim Janbaz Force and Kashmir Jehad Force),
Tehrik-e-Jehad-e-Islami, etc.
Besides inactive
groups there are about eleven terrorist organisations which were proscribed by
the government however few of them are exceedingly active. These outfits
include Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM), Harkat-ul-Ansar (HuA, presently known
as Harkat-ul Mujahideen), Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT), Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM), Harkat-ul Mujahideen (HuM, previously
known as Harkat-ul-Ansar) Al Badr, Jamiat-ul-Mujahideen (JUM), Harkat-ul-Jehad-al-Islami(HuJI), Dukhtaran-e-Millat (DeM). Besides
these outfits there are about six more extremist organisations which are active
in the valley. These organisations include
Lashkar-e-Omar (LeO), Lashkar-e-Jabbar (LeJ), Tehrik-ul-Mujahideen, Jammu & Kashmir Liberation Front (JKLF), All Parties Hurriyat Conference (APHC), Mutahida Jehad Council(MJC). ( Sl. No.13).
The South Asia
Terrorism Portal also mentions that besides these groups there are about
fourteen domestic terrorist outfits and about 32 Trans-national organisations
working in Pakistan. There are also four extremist trusts which collect funds
and finance the diverse terrorist outfits. Mostly the domestic terrorist
organisations carryout terrorist activities within country but several times
ISI and terrorist outfits use them against India and Afghanistan. ( Sl. No.14).
Lashkar-e-Toiba (L-e-T)
Lashkar-e-Toiba (L-e-T) which has its
headquarters at Muridke near India-Pakistan borders is the most powerful
terrorist organisation. L-e-T on behest of ISI, targeted, killed, threatened and
evicted non-Muslims from Kashmir. In fact L-e-T is responsible for killing Sufi
culture in J&K and it also carried out murders, bomb blasts and terrorist
activities in India especially in J&K. The L-e-T terrorists attacked
Parliament in December 2001 and carried out bomb blasts and rail derailments at
several places. The outfit which professes to establish Islamic rule in whole
of India is proscribed in several countries including India, USA and UNO. Hafiz
Saeed is a co-founder of L-e-T states that Islam must be spread all over the
world through Jihad and India, Israel and USA are the main adversaries. L-e-T
which does not believe in democracy is based on Wahabi ideology. The
organisation runs about 16 Islamic seminaries, more than 130 secondary schools,
hospitals, ambulance services, blood banks etc. It also operates its website, publishes
few monthly and weekly journals. Saeed’s son Talha is in charge of L-e-T office
at Muzaffarabad.
L-e-T runs several terrorist camps
where training is imparted to citizens of Pakistan and Afghanistan but besides
them terrorists from Sudan, Bahrain, Central Asia, Turkey, Libya and few misguided
youths from India also receive training in use of arms & ammunition,
discourses on Islam, collection of intelligence and carrying of terrorist
activities. The terrorists are imparted generally two months weapon training
including automatic rifles, grenades, LMGs, pistols, rocket launchers etc. There
are different training programmes for terrorists namely Daura-e-Aam &
Daura-e-Khas. L-e-T also imparts special training to suicide bombers which come
from highly motivated group called Jaan-e-Fidai.
L-e-T has close links with other
terrorist organisations active in India and several times terrorists of two or
more terrorist outfits carry terrorist activities jointly.
It gets maximum financial assistance
from Saudi Arabia and other countries of Middle East. However ISI is the main
financier, providers of logistics, trainers and weapons to L-e-T. ( Sl. No.14).
The leaders of Brazil, Russia, India,
China and South Africa in a joint statement issued at BRICS summit in Xiamen
mentioned the names of Lashkar-e-Toiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed with other
terrorist outfits guilty of committing or organizing terrorist activities. It
was a big setback for Pakistan as China is not only a close friend but also
supported Pakistan in past on terrorism. Again the Foreign Ministers of India,
China and Russia (RIC) met at New Delhi in December. In the meeting Sushma
Swaraj castigated terrorist organisations including Taliban, ISIS, al Qaeda,
and L-e-T which are directly involved in terrorism. The joint communiqué mentioned
about the implementation of international law and of curbing the terrorism. (Sl. No.15 & 16).
Jamaat-Ud-Dawah (JUD)
When Pakistan
banned L-e-T due to international pressure, Hafiz Muhammad Saeed founded
another organisation with the name of Jama'at-ud-Da'wah in
2002. When JUD was banned then another organisation namely Tehreek-e-Tahafuz Qibla Awal was
constituted. JUD carried out several terrorist activities in India.
In August
2017 Saeed formed a new political party namely Milli Muslim League (MML) and
declared that it will contest the general elections scheduled to be held in
2018. MML has applied for the registration as political party however Pakistan
election commissioner has refused to register MML as a political party but
analysts feel that refusal of registration by election commissioner is only to
show to foreign countries that election commissioner is an independent
authority. Nevertheless in reality no civilian authority including election
commissioner can defy all powerful ISI. It is also learnt that diplomats of few
countries raised their concern about the recognition of a terrorist outfit as a
political party.
Sheikh Yaqoob,
who was defeated by Begum Kulsoom in the by-election of a parliamentary seat,
stated that MML will contest elections from all the seats and his party will
win large number of seats. He mentioned that common people want to take strong
actions against Pakistan’s enemy like India, Israel and USA. The analysts feel
that radicalisation has increased considerably in Pakistan hence the chances
that few candidates of MML are elected cannot be ruled out and if the party
comes in power then it will also control nuclear warheads which will be very
dangerous not only for India and Afghanistan but for the whole world.
Jaish-e-Mohammed (J-e-M)
Jaish-e-Mohammed
(J-e-M) is a Deobandi terrorist organisation which was founded by Maulana Masood
Azhar in 1998 at Bahawalpur. The outfit which is involved in numerous terrorist
incidents in India especially in J&K is working to detach J&K from
India and amalgamate it in Pakistan. It also claims that after annexation of
J&K all non-Muslims will be exterminated and Islamic law would be imposed
in the subcontinent including India.
Several
countries of the world including Australia, Canada, UAE, UK, US, UN and India
declared J-e-M a terrorist outfit. The joint declaration of BRICS also named
J-e-M as a terrorist organisation. Pakistan also banned the outfit in 2002
because of mounting international pressure but the ban is only on paper and
J-e-M continues to function. The outfit has close links with Afghan Taliban, Al
Qaeda, Islamic State and Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HM).
Pakistan
watchers claim that J-e-M was created by ISI with sole aim of carrying out terrorist
activities in India especially in J&K. The outfit was responsible for
attack on Pathankot Airbase in January 2016 and did a joint operation with
L-e-T in Indian Army base at Uri.
J-e-M suicide
bomber carried out first terrorist activity in April 2000 in an Indian army
base in which five Indian soldiers were martyred. In October 2001 J-e-M
attacked near J&K legislative assembly in which 38 persons were killed and
in the same year in December attacked Indian Parliament along with L-e-T
terrorists. In 2002 when Pakistan government banned J-e-M it changed its name
to Khuddam ul-Islam and again in 2003 it changed to Al-Rehmat Trust. The outfit
also runs terrorist training centers and few Madrassas. (Sl. No.17)
All Parties Hurriyat Conference (APHC)
In 1993 on behest of ISI 26 political
parties, social groups and religious organisations constituted APHC so that all
of them can fight jointly against Indian government. There are reports that
Pakistan finance APHC leaders who organise demonstrations, strikes and
shutdowns in the valley. ISI also pay to stone-pelters and demonstrators
through APHC. The stone-pelters receive Rs.5000 to 7000 per month while the organizers
of stone pelters are given extra money.
There were splits in APHC because of
clash of personal interests. It issues calendars of strikes and shutdowns after
consulting ISI. The APHC demonstrates itself as the solitary representative of
people of Kashmir while in reality APHC does not have much following and local
masses accuse it and its leasers as anti-national as they are working not for
the interest of Kashmir but for Pakistan.
APHC leaders know the reality that they
do not have much following in the state hence do not contest elections under
one pretext or the other. APHC under instructions of their mentors criticise
and condemn Indian security forces in India and abroad including Organisation
of Islamic Conference (OIC) where it got observer’s status because of Pakistan.
APHC criticizes security forces for human right violations but does not raise
voice when terrorists attack and kill personnel of security forces.
India’s Kashmir policy
Pakistan has created several terrorist
organisations with different nomenclature however taxonomy is not important as
extremists change their loyalty and several times terrorists of two or more
groups’ carryout terrorist activities together and sometimes ISI selects
terrorists of more than one group and train them together to carry out
terrorist activities.
Besides above mentioned groups ISI also
created few more terrorist outfits namely Brigade 313, Student Islamic Movement
of India (SIMI) and Indian Mujahedeen (IM) just to name few. ISI try to recruit
more disenchanted Indian Muslims as terrorists because once they are caught or
killed, minions of ISI claim that Muslims are dissatisfied in the country hence
they are joining terrorist organisations.
The terrorist activities shake the investors’ confidence which hampers
the economic progress of the nation. India has to spend very large amount on
security of the country because of perpetual threat from Pakistan.
India tolerated Pakistan sponsored
terrorist activities from last several years but not formulated any
comprehensive policy to contain the menace however it appears that the present
government is moving very systematically to eradicate Pakistan sponsored
terrorism and bring permanent peace in the valley. The security forces have
launched successful Cordon & Search Operations (C&SO) in J&K. In
the C&SO, Army, Rashtriya Rifles (RR), Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) and
Jammu & Kashmir police are participating. The local police have the best
intelligence about the terrorists’ hideouts, while CRPF has numerical strength
and with local police they control the stone-pelters who gather at the site of
operation with devious intention to disturb the operation so that terrorists
can escape. Once the mob is under control Army and RR effectively exterminate
terrorists and recover large amount of arms & ammunition. The support
agents who have given shelter to these terrorists in their houses are also exposed.
As the support agents are exposed, arrested or eliminated local Kashmiri are
afraid of giving shelter to the terrorists. It has desired results, now
terrorists are afraid of taking shelter in the houses of OGWs and try to hide
in forests where it is easy to encounter them as there will not be
demonstrators, stone-pelters and children to defend them.
According to South Asia Terrorism
Portal, in 2015, 41 security personnel were martyred while 113 terrorists were
exterminated. In 2016, 88 security personnel and 165 terrorists were killed.
However up to 10 December 2017 the death of security forces persons reduced to
78 while killing of terrorists increased to 211. Security forces exterminated
about 599 terrorists from 2014 to December 10, 2017. The list of eliminated
terrorists includes several commanders and regional heads of terrorist outfits
like J-e-M, L-e-T and Hizbul Mujahideen. In this way the number of terrorists
is dwindling very fast and secessionists are worried that Kashmir would be
peaceful soon. As the number of diehard terrorists is decreasing the influence
of secessionists is also mitigating in the valley. (Sl. No.18)
The surveillance on India-Pakistan
border is considerably increased. The strength of security forces is enhanced
and they are equipped with more modern electronic gadgets. According to reports
infiltrators are killed at the borders regularly. Secondly now because of
advent of winters and heavy snowfall it is difficult to enter terrorists from
J&K area. Nonetheless ISI would try to infiltrate terrorists through
Punjab, Nepal and even Bangladesh. Hence security forces on these borders
should also be more vigilant.
The terror of terrorists in the local
population is also diminishing as they see that security forces chase them and
if they do not surrender, exterminate them. As the fear of terrorists is
minimizing the local Kashmiri who are fed up with shutdowns, strikes and
closures are also supplying information to security forces about their
whereabouts. The OGWs are very helpful to terrorists as most of the terrorists
are Pakistanis and not aware of topography of the area while OGWs being local
people reconnaissance the target, collect the information, give shelter and
food to terrorists. Hence if security forces effectively dissuade OGWs,
Pakistani terrorists cannot operate in the valley.
Financial assistance is the backbone
of any terrorist movement and Kashmir movement is financed by Pakistan. ISI
finance the secessionists through dishonest Indian businessmen who generate
money through over invoicing and under invoicing of the items imported or exported
to Pakistan. Present government has tightened the grip and arrested few corrupt
businessmen and few are under investigation. Intelligence agencies even suggested
that border trade should be stopped.
ISI was also financing secessionists
through smuggling of Fake Indian Currency Notes (FICN). Demonetisation has
curbed it but there are recent reports that now ISI has successfully
counterfeited Rs.2000/ note and smuggling them to India through Bangladesh. The
present Bangladesh government has cordial relations with India hence government
would control it. India should also try to curb smuggling of drugs as ISI
generates huge amount of money through smuggling of drugs to India and utilises
it in fomenting terrorist activities in Kashmir.
The government has appointed
Dineshwar Sharma as interlocutor when large numbers of hardcore terrorists were
eliminated and infiltration of Pakistani terrorists became difficult. The
financiers and Hawala operators are either arrested or under investigation and
OGWs are afraid to co-operate terrorists and the local support is diminishing. It
indicates that the present government wants to solve Kashmir problem amicably
hence Sharma former Chief of Intelligence Bureau who dealt Kashmir for numerous
years was given full powers to negotiate with all concerned. Sharma will talk
to secessionists with position of strength and during negotiations hunting of
terrorists would not stop and C&SO would also continue. Both Home Minister
and Chief of Army Staff made it clear that during negotiations anti-terrorist
operations would continue hence terrorists and separatists cannot use negotiations
period in recouping themselves.
Sharma made few visits to J&K but
in the beginning response was lukewarm and Joint Resistance Leadership (JRL) comprising
Syed Shah Geelani, Mirwaiz Umar Farooq and Yasin Malik refused to negotiate and
issued hard hitting statement against policies of government and also mentioned
that it is fruitless to negotiate with the interlocutor. The secessionists also
mentioned that in past government appointed several negotiators including K C
Pant, N N Vohra, Dileep Padgaokar but Kashmir problem could not be sorted out.
Nonetheless analysts’ claim that at present terrorists are eliminated and
secessionists are losing ground hence Sharma has better chance to succeed.
There are reports that persons of all walks of life have already met Sharma and
even few separatist leaders also met him clandestinely.
Pakistan watchers also claim that
Sharma was appointed interlocutor because of international pressure as the
announcement came just one day before the visit of Rex Tillerson US Secretary
of State to India and Pakistan. The hardliners in India feel that at present
there is lot of international pressure on Pakistan because of its assistance to
terrorist outfits and the Indian security forces have already eliminated large
number of terrorists and their leaders and remaining terrorists would also be
wiped out hence government should not give much concession to separatists and
the settlement must be on the terms of government and not on the dictates of
secessionists.
Way Forward
The surgical strike made an effective impact on Pakistan
authorities and now they have shifted their launching pads away from the
borders. There are reports that ISI have also relocated terrorist training
camps deep inside POK or in Pakhtoon Khawa. However surgical strikes on
launching pads are not enough as it killed low level terrorists. Indian
intelligence agencies should be tasked to collect pinpointed intelligence about
the locations of terrorist training camps and then these camps should be
demolished and the terrorists, officers imparting them training should be
exterminated, if possible senior leaders of terrorist outfits should also be
eliminated. It will be a difficult task as training camps are not permanent
structure and temporary constructions continue moving from one place to other.
Hence there cannot be much difference in collection of intelligence and attack
on these camps. Large numbers of terrorist training camps are run by L-e-T,
J-e-M and HM, although it is not possible to give the exact numbers but these
terrorist outfits have different training camps for training, firing and bomb
manufacturing and explosions. The firing and explosive training camps are in
thick forests and at secluded places. However India has legal right to enter
POK as it is part of India and Pakistan has occupied it illegally.
The surgical strike gave a valorous
message to Islamabad that the present government is not afraid of their nuclear
arsenal and if they will continue with sponsoring terrorist activities Indian
troops will enter in their territory in self defence. It also made it clear to
world powers that they must control Pakistan otherwise there is a danger of war
between two nuclear powers.
Indian should convey a stern message to Pakistan that if it
will not discontinue low intensity war, India is ready to bear the pain of
nuclear war. Pakistan knows in case of nuclear war, Pakistan would be
completely devastated while some portion of India will remain intact. Hence
Pakistan would be a bigger loser in case of nuclear war.
India must withdraw Most Favoured
Nation (MFN) accorded to Pakistan in 1996 a year after the formation of World
Trade Organisation (WTO). However Pakistan has not given MFN status to India so
far while there are talks that Pakistan may give MFN status to China. In this
case India should also adopt a pragmatic policy and should withdraw MFN status.
The Indus Water Treaty of 1960 is
against the interests of India and not only this, India is not utilising its
share of water. Hence first of all India should make arrangements so that it
can utilise its share of water and
afterwards should revisit the conditions of the treaty and if Pakistan is not
behaving like a good neighbour there is no need for India to be more generous
than required.
Khurshid Mahmud Kasuri, Former Foreign Minister of
Pakistan correctly stated, in a session captioned as “The Current State of
India-Pakistan Relations” that “endless war is not a solution and no one
country will win but both the countries will face colossal losses.” The session
was organised under aegis of Anant Aspen Centre on 7th December,
2017 where Kasuri further stated Pakistan army should change its behaviour and
there should be no attacks when India and Pakistan try to improve the
relations. Here Kasuri affirmed that Pakistan army does not want cordial
relations with India and therefore whenever the civilian governments try to
improve relations Pakistani army sabotage it.
Prime Minister Modi visited Lahore on
25 December, 2015and ISI sponsored terrorists attacked Pathankot Airbase on
January 2nd which resulted in enhancement of hostility. The
relations between India and Pakistan can be improved if Pakistan army which
flourishes on hate India rhetoric stops it and allow the civilian government to
ameliorate relations with India. (Sl.
No.19)
The first Counter Terrorism
Designations Dialogue between Indian and United States occurred at Delhi on
December 19 is a welcomed initiative. In the meeting India gave the details of
terrorist organisations like L-e-T and J-e-M including their leaders namely
Hafiz Saeed. It was decided to share intelligence and put the names of
terrorists before UNSC 1267 Committee so that sanctions can be imposed on them.
( Sl. No. 20)
Pakistan sponsored separatists killed
Sufi culture of Kashmir, evicted non-Muslims from the valley and replaced the
moderate Imams (priests) of mosques from fundamentalist Imams who spread hatred
towards security forces, India and other religions. There is a need that
moderate and good intentioned Kashmiri leaders try to win the confidence of
masses by telling them the futility of fighting with Indian security forces on
behest of Pakistan which is using them as tools. The patriotic leaders should also narrate the
pitiable condition of POK and Muslims who migrated to Pakistan after partition are
still considered as second rate citizens. The Sufi culture of Kashmir should be
restored and extremist Imams should be punished.
Nationalistic people should also
expose secessionist leaders including Hurriyat leaders who instigate youths to
revolt against government while their own children are residing out of valley.
Successive government in New Delhi
bestowed many favours to Kashmiri masses so that they become more pro-India.
However Kashmiris thought that as they project themselves pro-Pakistan India
provide them more facilities. Indian Policy makers must shatter this myth and extra
privileges should be withdrawn.
The medical camps and Sadbhavana
rallies organised by security forces are welcomed by the masses and generate
goodwill for India and security forces.
India should continue to expose
Pakistan in the international arena so that it takes stringent action against
all terrorists without differentiating between ‘good’ and ‘bad’ terrorists.
Pakistan should abolish terrorist training camps and the Madrassas which
produce terrorists and suicide bombers.
India should not allow Pakistani
artists to perform in the country and exchange of sports teams should be
stopped immediately. The so called human right activists who criticise security
forces but do not utter a word when terrorists attack Indian security installations
and kill security personnel should be exposed and detailed investigation should
be made about their links with forces inimical to India.
Kashmir politics is governed by few families;
Delhi should also try emerging leaders in the valley who may work more for the
interest of the province and the masses in comparison to the families who are more
involved in full-filling their personal interests.
However Kashmir problem which is
continuing since independence is becoming more and more complex, it cannot be solved
unless Article 370 is revoked. Indian policy makers should start debate about repeal
of Article 370 and efforts should be made so that non-Muslims including
Kashmiri Pandits evicted from valley return back to their ancestral homes
honourably.
NOTES & REFERENCES
(1)
The
India Pakistan narrative seems to have changed forever: Will surgical strike
become the strategy for anti-terror operations?
Dated 30the September 2016 By J K Verma Aviation & Defence Universe
(2)
Indian
Surgical Strikes against Terrorists in Pakistan: What we know, What, we Don’t
know By Siddharth Varadarajan on 29.09.2016. The Wire
(3)
Seventeen
soldiers killed in Uri terror attack. How will India respond? By Jai Kumar
Verma. The Indiasaga.com
(4)
Surgical
Strike : From Wikipedia, the free
encyclopedia
(5)
India’s
claim of surgical strikes ‘fabrication of truth’, says Pakistan Army : Imtiaz Ahmed: Hindustan Times Dated September 29, 2916.
(6)
Pak
Army Needs a Blunt Message, Time for Niceties is Over : Jai Kumar Verma dated
May 05, 2017 . The Indiasaga.com
(7)
Surgical
strikes effect: Pakistan fears India may now eliminate terror chiefs, asks them
to lie low, says report By FE online New Delhi Updated September 30, 2016
Financial Express.
(8)
Indo-Pakistani
War of 1965 from Wikipedia, the free
encyclopedia
(09)When Pakistan and India went to war over Kashmir in 1999
By Zaffar Abbas dated February 17, 2017: Herald
(10) All you need to know about Kargil War: July 26, 2017 The
Economic Times.
(11) NIA probe unearths
how Pakistan-based groups use WhatsApp to fuel terror in Kashmir: Bharti Jain
dated July 26, 2017 Times of India
(12) Rishi Order from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(13) South Asia Terrorism Portal
(14) Lashkat-e-Toiba South Asia Terrorism Portal
(15) BRICS declaration names Pakistan based terror groups in
diplomatic victory for India: Elizabeth
Roche live Mint September 4, 2017
(16) India-China-Russia Foreign Ministers’ meet revs up RIC:
Vineeta Pandey The Pioneer dated December 12, 2017
(17) Jaish-e-Mohammed from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.
(18) Fatalities in Terrorist Violence 1988
- 2017 South Asia Terrorism Portal
(19) The Current State of India-Pakistan relations” a session
organised by Ananta Aspen Centre on 7th, December 2017.
(20) India, US focus on increasing
bilateral ties on terrorism-related designations: Pioneer dated
December 21, 2017.
First Published in Aviation & Defence Universe website
· Kashmir
situation was at rock-bottom
By JK Verma
New Delhi. 31 December 2016. has been a worst nightmare for the two neighbours
India- Pakistan, with steadily deteriorating ties despite India’s friendly
advances which have been either turned down or resulted into back stabbing by
Pakistan.
Prime Minister Modi invited heads of
State of all South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries
including Pakistan to attend his oath taking ceremony. Modi also visited Lahore
on the birthday of Nawaz Sharif on December 25 last year and visited his
hometown but all the friendly gestures of Modi government were shattered when
on January 2, 2016 Pakistan trained 6 terrorists attacked Pathankot Airbase in
which seven security personnel including a Lieutenant Colonel were
martyred.
Nonetheless Indian government continued
its reconciliation efforts and requested Islamabad to take stringent actions
against persons/organisation behind the terrorists attack. Indian government
also allowed Pakistani team including an officer of sinister Inter Services
Intelligence (ISI) to become part of Pakistani investigation team. But Pakistan
which has launched a proxy war against India, instead of taking action against
terrorists alleged that the attack was handiwork of Indian intelligence
agencies and Pakistan was not responsible for the same.
Again ISI trained 4 terrorists of
Jaish-e-Mohammed equipped with latest weaponry attacked Army base at Uri on
September 18, in which 19 army personnel were killed. Nonetheless this time
Indian government took an intrepid decision and resorted to surgical strike inside
Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (POK) in which more than 40 Pakistani terrorists and
army men were exterminated. It was a spirited departure from the previous
policy of “strategic restraint”.
Both countries bitterly fought in
United Nations and also expelled diplomats of other country on the ground of
espionage. Pakistan persistently propagated fictitious stories about the human
right violations by Indian security forces in Jammu & Kashmir (J&K).
Few human right organisations and NGOs which were financed by ISI were also
making phony allegations of brutality by Indian security forces. India was
always defensive but this time Prime Minister Modi also raised Balochistan,
Gilgit and Baltistan issues in his Independence Day speech from the ramparts of
Red Fort. India also mentioned about the pitiable condition of residents
of POK.
The already deteriorated India Pakistan
relations became worse as Afghanistan openly blamed Pakistan for terrorist
activities in the country. Pakistan which wants to achieve strategic depth in
Afghanistan was upset on growing close relationship between its eastern and
western neighbours. India also successfully isolated Pakistan but China which
considers India as its prospective competitor firmly stood behind the rogue
nation.
The separatist outfits were worried
because of their dwindling influence in the valley. They were also disconcerted
that an ordinary resident of the valley can approach the security forces for
assistance. Therefore, ISI-sponsored terrorist outfits were instructed to attack
security forces so that the public would consider that the terrorists are more
dominant than the security forces.
Pakistan
Army which could not avenge September 29 surgical strike of the Indian Army
also instructed terrorist outfits under their control to target Indian security
forces. Military controlled ISI also enhanced infiltration after surgical
strike and according to reports more than 100 terrorists were exterminated by
security forces in counter-terrorist operations.
Pakistan abetted separatists in Kashmir
overtly claim that they want right of self determination for Kashmiris, repeal
of Armed Forces (Special Powers) Acts (AFSPA) and demilitarization of Kashmir.
In reality these terrorist outfits understand that the silent majority wants to
remain part of India therefore the terrorists attack security forces, snatch
weapons and kill innocent persons with malicious intention of disturbing peace
and tranquility in the valley.
Pakistan which considers Kashmir as
unfinished agenda of 1947 constantly infiltrates terrorists and supports
several terrorist outfits as well as separatist leaders who disturb law and
order, nonetheless valley was peaceful in first half of 2016 but the
separatists got a flicker when Burhan Wani Commander of Hizbul Mujahideen was
killed by security forces on July 8.
ISI supported secessionist groups
including Hurriyat conference took full advantage of the situation and started
demonstrations, processions, mob-violence and stone pelting in all 10 districts
of the valley. The protesters violated curfew and attacked the security forces
and destroyed the public property.
The Security forces had to use tear
gas, rubber bullets, and pellet guns to control the violent agitators. Curfew
continued for about 53 days in which about 85 civilians and 2 security men were
killed and about 13000 civilians and over 4000 security forces personnel were
also injured.
Pakistan continued fomenting trouble in
Kashmir and Pakistan-trained terrorists killed 87 security personnel in 2016
which is highest after 2008 when 90 security officials were martyred. Out of
these 87 casualties, 71 were killed in the Kashmir valley alone. Nineteen army
personnel were killed in the terrorist assault in Uri and terrorists also
attacked security forces in Kupwara, Pampore, Poonch, Anantnag, Baramulla and
Pulwama where 8 CRPF personnel were killed and 21 were seriously
injured. ISI trained Lashkar-e-Taiba terrorists ambushed CRPF convoy on
June 25 at Pampore and killed 8 CRPF officials. Terrorists attacked security
forces at Pampore more than once as it is a crowded place and security forces
cannot retaliate as it may hurt innocent citizens.
Recently
both Pakistan army chief and Director General of ISI, two most powerful persons
in Pakistan, have changed and it is expected that new army chief General Qamar
Javed Bajwa would be less anti India in comparison to his predecessor Raheel
Sharif. Analysts also claim that now Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif may have more
leverage with regards to foreign policy towards India.
Aizaz Ahmad Chaudhary Foreign Secretary
of Pakistan stated on December 28 that bilateral talks should be restarted. He
also stated that the relations between both the countries were not good because
there were no talks. It is an indication that civilian government of Pakistan
is keen to start negotiations.
The previous regimes have not only
radicalized the country but there are so much of anti-India sentiments that it
is very difficult to improve relations. Several powerful pressure groups like
terrorist outfits, religious organisations, business houses and most
importantly Pakistani army are availing undue privileges by projecting
imaginary threat from India and all these power centres would never allow
cordial relations with India.
Indian government should work on two
angles firstly it must tackle Pakistan and instead of pursuing defensive
policies, India must adopt offensive strategy. India should give diplomatic
assistance to numerous secessionist movements going on in Pakistan especially
in Balochistan, Sindh, Muhajirs, Gilgit & Baltistan, Pashtoons etc.
The pitiable condition of POK and Saraikistan should also be highlighted
in all world forums including United Nations. India should render more
assistance to Balochistan as the Baloch leaders expect whole-hearted support
from India.
The Indian policy makers should also
consider diverse options including reconsideration of Indus Water Treaty,
withdrawing of Most Favoured Nations status from Pakistan just to name few.
After making Pakistan defensive on
these fronts, India should chalk out a long term strategy so that Kashmir
problem is sorted out. Most Kashmiri leaders including separatists have taken
state security and sent their children outside J&K. These leaders must be
exposed and if they are really sincere about Kashmir they must relinquish state
security and call their children to participate in the demonstrations.
National Investigation Agency (NIA)
must try to curb the funding to Kashmiri terrorists. The terrorist outfits give
money at the time of recruitment, training and even while participating in the
demonstration. The processions and stone-pelting was considerably minimized in
first few days of demonetisation. Several business houses in Kashmir are also
involved in terror funding through over and under invoicing and recently NIA
has seized their documents. Finance is backbone of any agitation and
security forces must break the backbone.
Kashmiri demonstrators challenge the
authority of government of India; the security forces under a long term
planning must restore the dominance of government without using excessive
force. The miscreants responsible for damaging public or private property
especially educational institutions must be awarded exemplary punishment by the
judiciary.
The security forces should arrest the
organizers of the demonstrations and if feasible they should be sent out of
J&K so that peace can be restored in the state. All the nationalist
political parties should try to resolve the present law and order situation as
anti national parties are creating trouble under the instructions of Pakistan.
Article 370 is damaging J&K and it is assisting only the secessionists
hence an atmosphere should be created so that it can be repealed.
The
decision of government to issue domicile certificates to the refugees who
migrated from Pakistan 70 years back is an excellent decision and government
should not cow down because of opposition of separatists. India has been
extending its hand of faith to Pakistan but the fact that Pakistan has not been
warmly accepting the shake, has got the relations to a sore point as is the
status quo today. Hope 2017 turns out to be a little better and instills
good sense which will hopefully prevail on India’s not-so-friendly neighbour.
(Jai Kumar Verma is a Delhi-based former diplomat and strategic
analyst. He was posted in Pakistan. The views in the article are solely the
author’s. He can be contacted at editor.adu@gmail.com.)
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